A Closer Look at How Tariffs Could Impact Your Retirement

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The ripple effects of tariffs now touch every corner of our financial system. American families see it in their grocery bills, and retirees watch it erode their savings.

The stock market took its biggest hit in five years after the latest tariff announcements came out. This news has everyone worried about their retirement accounts. Making things worse, China hit back with 34 percent tariffs on American goods. The trade numbers tell the story – China bought $147.8 billion of American products but sold $426.9 billion to the U.S.

Recent market reactions to tariff announcements

The stock market shook violently after President Trump announced sweeping tariffs. This marked one of the most volatile periods for retirement portfolios since the pandemic. The S&P 500 dropped 4.84%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq plummeted 5.97%. Market experts called it the worst day in five years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also took a hit, losing 1,679 points or almost 4%.

Companies that rely heavily on imports took the biggest hits. Nike’s shares plunged 14%, while Apple and Amazon lost 9% of their value overnight. These steep drops directly affected retirement accounts that invested heavily in these well-known companies.

The market turmoil spread beyond U.S. borders quickly. Major indexes dropped more than 3% in Japan and nearly 2% in Hong Kong, South Korea, Germany, and France. This widespread reaction shows how retirement investments have become intertwined with global markets.

The bond market reacted strongly too. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.05% from 4.20%. Investors rushed to safer investments as concerns about economic stability grew. Oil prices also took a sharp dive, with crude dropping 8% to $61.92 a barrel. This affected many retirement portfolios’ energy-related holdings.

Market analysts called these movements “the worst case scenario for tariffs”. UBS strategists believe these tariffs could cut U.S. economic growth by 2 percentage points this year. They also warned that inflation might climb close to 5%. This mix of slow growth and rising inflation—known as stagflation—creates a tough environment for retirement investments.

Signs of market stress appeared before the announcement, with drops in five out of the previous six weeks. The tariff news accelerated this downward trend. The S&P 500 fell 11% below its February record, pushing it into correction territory.

How different retirement vehicles are responding to tariffs

Tariffs are reshaping the investment scene and retirement accounts feel these effects differently. Market ups and downs have made financial experts pay close attention to how retirement plans are performing.

The news hasn’t been good for 401(k) plans with heavy U.S. stock investments. Oxford Risk Research and Analysis firm found that emotional reactions to market swings cost the average investor around 3% per year in returns. But U.S. stocks have an edge over international investments right now. The U.S. economy stands better equipped to handle tariff effects. Trade makes up about 25% of U.S. GDP compared to 73% for Mexico and 67% for Canada.

Your retirement portfolio’s sector mix matters substantially. Technology, materials, energy, and industrial sectors face higher risks with foreign revenue exposure reaching 57%. The utilities and healthcare sectors show more stability. Financial advisors suggest spreading investments across different asset classes. They know certain investments react differently to tariff news.

Your age should guide your investment choices. The “100 Minus Your Age Rule” helps make smart decisions. Younger investors can keep more stocks while those near retirement might want fewer equities. To name just one example, at 70, this rule suggests putting 30% in stocks and 70% in bonds.

Financial professionals suggest keeping your eyes on long-term goals instead of making big portfolio changes. 

The inflation factor: Tariffs’ dual impact on retirement

Tariffs create a double-edged sword for retirees by pushing inflation higher. Retirees face unique challenges from rising consumer prices because they often depend on fixed incomes and can’t easily boost their earnings.

The effects of inflation are clear today. Economists tell us that tariffs act like taxes on imports and drive up prices of everyday items. These costs cascade through supply chains and hit consumers’ wallets hard. Price increases now affect everything from electronics and clothing to food. Yale Budget Lab research suggests these higher costs could shrink U.S. GDP by 0.6% in 2025 and lead to economic losses between $80-110 billion each year.

Retirees feel this squeeze painfully. One retiree shared their experience: “Every time we come to the supermarket, we have a budget for a week, and every time we’re coming to the supermarket we can see that the prices keep going up”. This forces many retirees to make tough decisions about basic expenses.

Rising inflation also hurts bond prices. This creates serious problems since pension funds put much of their money into bonds for stability. Higher interest rates could reduce fixed-income returns right at the moment retirees need them most.

Tariffs have created a perfect storm for retirement security. They push everyday costs higher while eating away at retirement savings – a tough situation for anyone trying to live on a fixed budget.

Conclusion

The ripple effects of tariffs now touch every corner of our financial system. American families see it in their grocery bills, and retirees watch it erode their savings. The markets paint a stark picture – major indexes have plunged, and some companies lost 14% of their value in just one night. These market tremors extend well beyond American shores and spark simultaneous downturns from Tokyo to Frankfurt.

Retirement accounts take an especially hard hit during this economic transformation. Stock portfolios swing wildly while bonds struggle to shield against inflation’s steady climb. The situation hits retirees with fixed incomes the hardest. They must juggle rising daily costs while watching their retirement nest eggs shrink.

Current patterns suggest tariffs could transform retirement planning in the coming years. Market experts anticipate sustained economic pressure. They point to slower growth rates and higher inflation – conditions that typically strain retirement portfolios. Recent events show how trade policies can reshape our financial future through quick market reactions and deeper economic changes.

The commentary on this article reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints and analyses of the author, Eddy Agyeman, and should not be regarded as a description of advisory services provided by Foundations Investment Advisors, LLC (“Foundations”), or performance returns of any Foundations client. The views reflected in the commentary are subject to change at any time without notice. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security, or any security. Foundations manages its clients’ accounts using a variety of investment techniques and strategies, which are not necessarily discussed in the commentary. Foundations deems reliable any statistical data or information obtained from or prepared by third party sources that is included in any commentary, but in no way guarantees its accuracy or completeness.

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